Trump Tariffs on Soybeans - conversation snippets
Soybeans – July/November Spread CouldFind New Life
April 13, 2018
Brazilian cash soybean prices havesurged higher in the wake of the China/US trade dispute on speculation that China’sappetite for soybeans would be centered on Brazil alone, and Brazilian FOBprices were running 40 cents higher than US FOB prices in New Orleans thisweek. Argentina is traditionally the world’s largest soybean meal exporter, butwith their crop down sharply due to drought, soybean meal prices have soaredand processors there have found it profitable to import US soybeans for thefirst time since 1997/98.
Poor planting weather could force US producers to switch some of their plantings away from corn and spring wheat, which require longer growing seasons, over to soybeans. A strong storm thiscoming week could bring as much as 12 inches of snow in the northern US Plainsand heavy rain in the southern Midwest, which would cause further delays.
With demand prospects seemingly unaffected by tariff scares and the potential for more soybean acres this year, the July/November soybean spread could find some new life.
Suggested Trading Strategies:
1) Buy July Soybeans/Sell NovemberSoybeans at +13 cents. Use an objective of +33 cents on the trade, and risk itto a close below +7 ? cents.
2) Buy a July Soybean $11.00 call andsell a November Soybean $12.00 call at even money. Use an objective of 15 ?cents on the spread and risk 5 ? cents from entry.
来源:CMEGroup,本文获授权转载。
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