45、influence is various, like causes the project product/service the function to be unable to satisfy the customer the need, the project expense surpasses the budget, the project plan dragging or is compelled to cancel and so on, it finally manifests for customer degree of satisfaction depression. Ther 。

46、efore, the recognition risk, the appraisal risk and take the measure to be supposed to be the risk management have the extremely vital significance to the risk to the project management. Risk management concrete content The project risk management mainly divides into following several steps: The ris 。

47、k recognition, the qualitative/quota risk analysis, the risk should to plan the establishment and the risk monitoring. 1.risk recognitions The risk recognition, is refers distinguishes and records possibly has the adverse effect to the project the factor. Because the project is in develops in unceas 。

48、ingly the change process, therefore the risk recognition also passes through in the entire project implementation entire process, but is not merely the project initial stage. The risk recognition is not the disposable work, but need more systems, crosswise thought. Possesses nearly about the project 。

49、 plan and the information all possibly takes the risk recognition the basis, like project progress and cost plan, work decomposition structure, project organizational structure, project scope, similar project historical information and so on. Needs to pay attention, all risks all may carry on the ma 。

50、nagement by no means through the risk recognition. The risk recognition only can discover the known risk (for example: In the known project organization some member ability cannot satisfy the request completely) or the known unknown risk (known-unknown, namely event name known, like customer side pe 。

51、rsonnel participates in dynamics being insufficient);
Before but certain risks, as a result of the project distinctive quality, not impossible to occur in it know in advance (unknown-unknown, namely unknown-unknown risk). 2.qualitative/quota risk analysis The latent risk quantity distinguishes which 。

52、 through the risk recognition process are very many, but these latent risks to the project the influence are various. The risk analysis namely through the analysis, the comparison, the appraisal and so on each way, to determined various risks the importance, sorts to the risk and appraises it to the 。

53、 project possible consequence, thus causes the project to implement the personnel to be possible to concentrate the main energy in the few in number main risk, thus enable the project the overall risk to be under the effective control. The risk analysis mainly may use the method includes: Risk proba 。

54、bility/influence appraisal matrix, sensitive analysis, simulation and so on. When carries on the above analysis, mainly pays attention to following several risk factor: Risk probability: Namely the risk event occurs possible percentage expression. This numeral is, like the expert who obtains through 。

55、 the subjective judgment appraises, the interview or the basis before similar project historical information. Risk influence: Namely the risk has possibly the influence size which creates to the project. This kind of influence is possibly in the time, possibly is in the cost, also is possibly other。

56、various aspects. Risk value (required value EMV): The risk value = https://www.renrendoc.com/paper/risk probability * risk influence, is to the risk the influence most direct appraisal which creates to the project, its overall evaluation probability with has affected two aspects the factors. 3.risks should plan the establishment T 。

57、he risk should lie in to the plan goal through the formulation corresponding measure, comes to be supposed to the risk the threat which possibly creates to the project.Most often uses should to threat several measures be: The circumvention, reduces, the shift, accepts. The circumvention, namely elim 。

58、inates this risk through the elimination risk origin;
Reduces, namely through takes the measure to reduce the risk probability or the risk influence, thus achieved reduces the risk value the result;
The shift, soon the risk shifts to another side, like purchase insurance, sub package and so on;
Acce 。

59、pts, namely does not take the measure to this risk, accepts result which it creates, or occurs after this risk uses the contingency plan to carry on processing again. Selects what method to come specifically to be supposed to some risk, is decided in this risk value (EMV), plans to adopt should to t 。

60、he measure possible cost, the project management personnel treat the risk the manner (utility function) the type and so on various aspects, cannot be generally spoken. The risk should be aims at the risk to the plan which distinguishes to carry on;

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